Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 12.926993 15.131547 17.539265 20.356357 23.553876 27.062105 31.193945
2025-03-30 9.692864 12.818257 16.588521 21.431529 27.443086 34.612603 43.757766
2025-04-06 7.201979 10.543396 14.916283 20.967232 29.017991 39.244831 53.082532
2025-04-13 5.370016 8.611656 13.170332 19.896706 29.386200 42.086819 60.116250
2025-04-20 4.659543 8.052288 13.109472 20.961723 32.557538 48.711693 72.491475
2025-04-27 4.179468 7.721151 13.278718 22.298688 36.150227 56.111247 86.399953
2025-05-04 3.607006 7.119703 12.916875 22.737436 38.391808 61.682672 98.039633
2025-05-11 3.048520 6.427781 12.288979 22.639959 39.741227 65.967342 108.011301
2025-05-18 2.543853 5.730113 11.535476 22.213193 40.474117 69.300215 116.691837
2025-05-25 2.133496 5.128222 10.852078 21.798292 41.140989 72.514186 125.317127
2025-06-01 1.791644 4.593442 10.206291 21.353538 41.678919 75.505887 133.710425
2025-06-08 1.431726 3.940878 9.231342 20.173402 40.799913 76.070169 138.173406
2025-06-15 1.295367 3.785687 9.265333 20.983687 43.680632 83.348931 154.499073
2025-06-22 1.177883 3.655924 9.344849 21.916887 46.918543 91.547380 173.027929
2025-06-29 0.970836 3.247159 8.752222 21.411754 47.396847 94.960517 183.638678
2025-07-06 0.764749 2.779120 7.936265 20.315875 46.598338 95.999176 190.149152
2025-07-13 0.712367 2.736375 8.116778 21.398916 50.218352 105.315575 211.801187
2025-07-20 0.677765 2.738961 8.408181 22.759474 54.509024 116.128363 236.697700
2025-07-27 0.604292 2.597374 8.308671 23.205947 56.928412 123.544561 255.786298
2025-08-03 0.518913 2.389171 7.996200 23.106737 58.170689 128.764263 271.078667
2025-08-10 0.434822 2.156109 7.570722 22.672408 58.633223 132.468775 283.699620
2025-08-17 0.364327 1.947558 7.173096 22.250135 59.071634 136.131167 296.404235
2025-08-24 0.304101 1.755771 6.785514 21.797457 59.388726 139.548441 308.787053